Monday, February 10, 2020

Another spike in BSV price today!

"BSV jumps 17% out of nowhere" says one headline. It is actually greater than 25% really but the gist of the headline was it jumped 17% when all other cryptos were in bear mood. When BTC passed 10,000 the whole market of course rebounded including BSV.

Why did BTC pass 10K ?

My take is the slowing global economy prompted by the corona virus ( nCov ). The effects on commodity demand due to China shutdown is being felt. Oil has plunged 20% with little hope of it recovering in the next 2 quarters. The ramifications of this is huge as the price of oil affects highly leverage shale producers immediately and Saudi Arabia needs oil at $80 to balance its budget.

Supply lines have been disrupted leading to many factories including Hyundai, outside China, also shutting down. A consequence of today's just in time production, and this was only due to one week shutdown. China restart was planned for Monday Feb 10 but this may be extended by another week! The mood has changed, lost production, revenue and profits may never be recovered. The long touted recession may finally be here despite all the money printing by reserve banks around the world to avoid it.

Excessive money printing can only result in devaluation of fiat currencies worldwide. Some countries like Columbia and Zimbabwe have adopted the US dollar because their own currency have failed. However, all fiat currencies have only 1 outcome - a move to zero, as governments can never stop printing to offset tax deficits. Normally the affected country will just reset with a new fiat currency but today with the options of digital currencies and cryptos there are choices.

Why the increase in price for BTC

BTC proponents want you to believe that the moonshot is near or here. I believe that BTC price increased because it is the main gateway for new money to flow into BSV. If this is true then the next phase will be for BTC price to fall while BSV rises.







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